Leger poll: CAQ loses 5% support

Still at the top, François Legault’s CAQ is losing feathers among voters seeking stronger opposition, a new Léger poll shows. In Quebec, where the struggle seems to be growing bitter, the Conservatives are closing the gap again.

Voting intentions of the provinces

41% of Quebecers would choose Legault’s CAQ.

If there were state elections today, which party would you vote for?

Dated June 22, 2022

Other: 3%

“It’s really moving,” says pollster Jean-Marc Léger. “There is a downward movement [de 5 %] for the QAK. »

With that, Prime Minister Legault is no longer moving so easily toward the “strong mandate” he wants on October 3.

By collecting 41% of intentions, his training is sailing on some unfavorable currents and the CAQ is returning to its pre-pandemic support.

development of voting intentions

Dated June 22, 2022

It still dominates among Francophones with a massive 50% support.

There is a real “good fight” going on in Quebec between the CAQ and Éric Duhaime’s Conservatives.

firmness of decision

At the provincial level, is your election final or is it possible that you might change your mind?

Dated June 22, 2022

For the third year in a row, the right formation closed the gap, this time receiving 26% of the intentions in the region versus 40% for the CAQ.

François Legault, on the other hand, received 51% support there in April. “There is a ripple effect,” says Mr. Léger.

Second choice

17% of Quebecers would vote for the Parti Quebecois.

Which of the following provincial parties would be your second choice?

Dated June 22, 2022

Other: 9%

This probe confirms that Quebecers “have changed their minds” and that 57% of them are looking for more resistance.

“People want the CAQ not to be alone […] They don’t want a strong majority,” he analyses.

motivation to vote

Will you be voting in connection with the next Quebec elections?

Dated June 22, 2022

Probably not / Definitely not

6%

battle of the opposition

However, no opposition makes significant gains. The other parties almost all get a single extra point.

According to him, “it’s moving”, but with the opposition dispersed, the effect could only be a reduction in the overwhelming majority projected for the CAQ.

Best Prime Minister of Quebec

43% the Quebecer would vote for François Legault.

Which of the following provincial political party leaders would be the best premier of Quebec?

Dated June 22, 2022

CAQ

Francis
Right

PCQ

Eric
Duhaime

QA

Gabriel
Nadeau Dubois

QLP

Dominika
English

QP

Paul Saint Pierre
Plamondon

Don’t know / rejection: 24%

The struggle for official opposition status is taking shape between Québec Solidaire and the Liberals. “The election campaign is the opposition’s struggle,” emphasizes Jean-Marc Léger.

Potential future prime minister

Do you think the leaders of the following opposition parties will one day, even years from now, become Quebec’s premier?

Dated June 22, 2022


Interesting fact, 27% of people are convinced that one day the solidary Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois will be prime minister.

Satisfaction with the Legault government

Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied or very dissatisfied with the Francois Legault-led government in Quebec?

Dated June 22, 2022

Compare the previous result

The arrival of Drainville

The CAQ’s decline also occurs after the arrival of strong candidates with a sovereignty past, Bernard Drainville and Caroline St-Hilaire.

importance of the opposition

Does it matter or not that there is strong opposition to the CAQ, which will be elected in the next Quebec elections when it returns to power?

Dated June 22, 2022

The pollster notes that these announcements had no positive impact on voting intentions.

He says defectors are finding it increasingly difficult to get elected.

Best objection to the CAQ

23% of Quebecers would choose Québec Solidaire.

Which of the four main opposition parties do you think is in a position to offer the best opposition to the CAQ when it comes back to power?

Dated June 22, 2022

Don’t know / rejection: 27%

According to Jean-Marc Léger, citizens are primarily worried about their wallets and the inflation crisis. “It’s a return to normal,” he said.

The CAQ would form the best government to deal with a recession, according to 40% of respondents.

opinion of defectors

Do you more or less vote for a candidate who has switched political parties, or do you not care?

Dated June 22, 2022

tax reduction

They also believe a tax cut would be the right measure to deal with inflation and the cost of living, giving Dominique Anglade’s already pledged Liberals a head start.

“People want solutions,” says Léger. “In addition to another $500, the Legault government must promise a tax cut or it will be overtaken by the Liberal Party. »

But despite the Liberal leader’s best efforts to restore her image with the electorate, particularly non-Francophones, she is struggling to climb the slope.

The Conservatives now win over 22% of Anglophones.

Quebec sovereignty

If a referendum were held on Quebec sovereignty, would you vote or would you lean FOR or AGAINST Quebec sovereignty?

Dated June 22, 2022

Compare the different parties





Shock at the CAQ

The pollster also measured Quebecers’ patriotic sentiment depending on which political formation they vote for.

In the CAQ, 43% of voters would vote for sovereignty in a referendum and 42% would vote against.

“Sooner or later there will be a constitutional debate at the CAQ,” predicts Mr. Léger.

Better counteract a possible recession

40% of Quebecers would choose Legault’s CAQ.

Which of the political parties is most competent to deal with a possible recession in Quebec? Is it…

Dated June 22, 2022

Other: 30%

Among supporters of solidarity, only 39% support sovereignty.

For its part, Paul St-Pierre Plamondon’s Parti Québécois “is becoming popular again,” notes the pollster.

He is the second most popular choice for many voters.

Would you also like to take part in surveys? Sign up for LEO, Legers Panel: https://bit.ly/3raMw62

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