Future of Quebec: the Legault hypothesis

In the past two weeks, virtually every commentator and political analyst in Quebec has gone there to explain the CAQ’s success, according to the polls. Everything indicates that François Legault’s party will crush the Liberal Party (except in the Anglo-ethnic ridings, of course) and pulverize what is left of the PQ.

The PQ owes its demise — in part — to the policy missteps of its leaders over the past twenty years: they wanted to win votes for Québec solidaire on the left, rather than opening up to the center right, where the CAQ and, before that, the ADQ drew its growing electorate. One may even wonder if François Legault was not inspired by the politically ambiguous sovereignty unification movement created by René Lévesque.

Liberal rejection of Charest-Couillard

Liberals are forever tainted by the corruptions and embezzlements emblematic of Charest-Couillard, the liberal subjugation that plagued Quebec.

One day a historian or political scientist will have to do a comparative study between the Charest-Couillard era and the Duplessis era – which ruled for 18 years – to determine which was the most corrupt in Quebec’s history. The names of how many notorious gangsters have been associated with the PLQ for 20 years? See the Gomery and Charbonneau commissions, as well as the many journalistic investigations by the Quebecor, Radio-Canada, and media outlets The press.

It is also worth noting that virtually all criminals associated with the Charest-Couillard clan have escaped from prison: procedural flaws, undue delays and other dubious legal conveniences have been invoked. The real reason is that Quebec’s justice systems and police force are plagued by liberals at both the federal and provincial levels.

Such is the French-speaking majority’s rejection, dislike, and contempt for the liberals that they cannot hope to regain power for a few decades. You’ll have to wait for immigration and demographics to do their jobs.

The CAQ therefore seems destined to remain the dominant party in Quebec for a long time to come. Our Prime Minister believes he has the winning combination to remain in power.

An independent “geriatric” Quebec

And what would be this “Legault hypothesis” that would explain his political successes?

He seems to think that Québecians are an increasingly “aging” people, out of breath, who want above all rest and peace while saving face. A sweet and quiet death while being treated to honeyed and meaningless nationalist slogans. Justin Trudeau knows he has nothing to fear from François Legault and doesn’t seem to care too much about his admonitions.

Time will tell if I’m right with the “Legault Hypothesis” or if, in a totally unpredictable outburst of patriotism, he will attempt to mobilize Quebec for a third attempt at Quebec independence.

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