ONE SURVEY PER MONTH UNTIL 3 OCTOBER
Quebecers will vote on their government on October 3rd. Less than six months before the elections, Le Journal, TVA and platform QUB are today releasing a monthly poll measuring voter sentiment. Each month, discover the results of this exclusive Léger survey and consult the full report on the QUB platform and qub.ca.
The CAQ will not be punished for its management of the pandemic as the two legacy parties hit historic lows in voting intentions. As a precaution against COVID-19, Quebecers will continue to wear the mask even after the obligation is lifted.
The government has been closely examining the circumstances surrounding the tragedy at CHSLD Herron for several weeks.
Not to mention the increasing hospitalizations and face covering wear that has been dragging on in Quebec while disappearing elsewhere in the country.
Far from paying the price, François Legault’s troops have even increased their support to 44% of the vote since last month, according to a Léger poll conducted April 14-17.
“It’s a time to smile at the CAQ,” notes executive vice president Christian Bourque.
Of course, the unveiling of the budget, which included a $500 gift to help citizens cope with soaring home and food prices, certainly didn’t hurt. The government candidate did not win the by-election in Marie-Victorin either.
“The CAQ plow will go down pretty well with 50% of the French-speaking votes everywhere,” predicts the pollster.
And with less than six months to go before the elections, the Legault government can count on a fragmented opposition.
The PQ and the PLQ are the lowest
Dominique Anglade’s Liberal Party continues its steady decline, attracting only 17% of voters.
“With 11% of the French-speaking vote, we’re starting to look at our fingers and tell ourselves how many districts we can hope to win or keep,” stresses Mr. Bourque.
Same ongoing slump in Parti Québécois, which breaks below the 10% support level.
Mathematically, Paul St-Pierre Plamondon’s PQ could end up with ten MPs with numbers like that… or none at all, the pollster analyzes.
“Not since 1976 have the two major parties had such low scores,” he said.
This allows Québec Solidaire to earn a point to climb to 15% popular support.
The only cloud on the horizon for the CAQ is conservative. Eric Duhaime’s support is firm, while more than 70% of his supporters have no intention of changing their minds before the October 3 election.
In the Quebec region, fertile territory for the Conservative Party, the former radio presenter is consolidating his second position.
“There may be members of the CAQ at the moment who should have a little trouble sleeping,” points out Christian Bourque. They are heated in some districts. »
The pandemic is not over yet
However, eight in 10 Quebecers believe the pandemic is not over, and no fewer than 73% of respondents will continue to wear the mask in public places most or occasionally even after the measure is lifted.
Data that could also mean that the Conservatives have reached their growth potential for now.
Quebecers are quite divided over who is responsible for the tragedy that resulted in the deaths of 47 residents in inhumane conditions at the private CHSLD Herron in Dorval.
When one in four points the finger at the government, many condemn the residence owner or the CIUSSS de l’Ouest-de-l’Île-de-Montréal.
“Is the CAQ government doing well given the circumstances? That tells us so far,” says the pollster.
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